As of April 13, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at roughly $77,466, or 29% down from its peak of $109,225 earlier this year. Top crypto guru Dan Gambardello believes differently, even if some investors believe the bull run has finished. Though several technical and macroeconomic statistics point to a bright future for Bitcoin, he argues that its cycle top is yet unknown. Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025, This essay will lay out its thesis, examine the market situation, and look at what this suggests for the price estimate of Bitcoin in 2025.
Why This Analyst Remains Bullish on Bitcoin
Founder of Crypto Capital Venture, Dan Gambardello, is renowned for his thorough technical Bitcoin and Cardano research. Though the price is declining, Gambardello notes several encouraging signs that Bitcoin might be getting ready for another rise.
Key reasons why he believes the top isn’t in:
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Weekly RSI Mirror Pattern: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is forming a similar pattern to what we saw in July 2021. This setup preceded a massive rally that pushed BTC to a new all-time high.
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Bullish Divergence: Although the price has been making lower lows, the RSI is trending upward. This divergence is often considered a signal of a reversal in momentum.
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Consolidation Phase: Bitcoin appears to be entering a consolidation phase, not a decline. A similar pattern in 2021 lasted around 60 days before a strong breakout occurred.
What Makes This Cycle Different from 2021?
One of Gambardello’s strongest arguments is that the current macroeconomic and market conditions fundamentally differ from those at the end of the 2021 bull cycle.
Notable differences include:
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Federal Reserve Policy: In 2021, the Fed was moving toward monetary tightening, which created selling pressure on risk assets like crypto. Today, discussions of rate cuts or a more dovish stance could inject fresh capital into the market.
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Improved Regulatory Environment: Although regulation is still a concern, the crypto industry is no longer battling back-to-back collapses like FTX and Celsius. In fact, we’re seeing more institutional adoption and improved investor sentiment.
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Market Sentiment: Investor fear is much lower than at the tail end of the last cycle. There’s growing optimism surrounding Bitcoin ETFs, global adoption, and halving-related supply shocks.
While the long-term forecast is bullish, Gambardello cautions traders to expect continued short-term volatility. Bitcoin could dip into the low $70,000 range or trade sideways for several weeks. However, he argues that such movement is healthy and historically aligns with the final stages before a breakout.
Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2025
If the current trend holds and technical indicators play out as expected, BTC could be on track to retest its all-time high—and potentially surpass it—in the coming months. Some analysts have even placed Bitcoin price targets between $120,000 and $150,000 by the end of 2025, assuming macro conditions remain favorable.
Final Thoughts
While no prediction is guaranteed, Dan Gambardello’s analysis offers a compelling case for why Bitcoin’s bull market may not be over. Bitcoin Soars Past, Technical indicators, historical patterns, and evolving market dynamics all indicate further price appreciation in 2025.
